Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1885.784469 2059.862006 2237.964699 2433.534885 2641.970436 2857.195380 3095.947645
2024-10-20 1600.291941 1854.957735 2127.078170 2438.388416 2783.553291 3153.416818 3578.575381
2024-10-27 1362.308829 1654.292621 1976.950635 2357.703980 2792.404186 3270.910320 3835.078662
2024-11-03 1274.069188 1605.149277 1980.771009 2434.740343 2964.657504 3559.811041 4274.738486
2024-11-10 1187.516256 1546.806933 1964.185605 2479.403525 3092.588575 3793.308034 4648.583457
2024-11-17 1090.665332 1466.821553 1913.739355 2476.496640 3158.428896 3950.227245 4930.807742
2024-11-24 994.542297 1379.802244 1847.589283 2447.894391 3187.779488 4059.741973 5154.208308
2024-12-01 935.698621 1334.695627 1828.577373 2472.978828 3278.990263 4241.103881 5462.642467
2024-12-08 872.013306 1278.674229 1791.708339 2472.054466 3335.246470 4378.349204 5717.273301
2024-12-15 835.834491 1255.955990 1794.916684 2519.826317 3450.958105 4588.074538 6061.333595
2024-12-22 776.440802 1198.262082 1749.317509 2501.846255 3481.227015 4690.669929 6273.062500
2024-12-29 751.728997 1186.163132 1762.279126 2558.891248 3606.769973 4912.502623 6634.373387
2025-01-05 708.630062 1146.826747 1737.908956 2566.740514 3670.066159 5058.683541 6905.820026
2025-01-12 667.658816 1108.201012 1712.576861 2571.807071 3728.979878 5199.540681 7172.130598
2025-01-19 599.984263 1026.771091 1624.269818 2487.740350 3666.665790 5181.939246 7234.401729
2025-01-26 590.872516 1031.280926 1655.907258 2568.006747 3824.122528 5450.101777 7665.923084
2025-02-02 571.882156 1019.641119 1663.638206 2614.531558 3936.148734 5659.806863 8023.814084
2025-02-09 539.373511 985.365697 1637.087090 2611.503751 3979.796106 5779.299978 8264.886174
2025-02-16 501.544598 940.562834 1593.077480 2581.709905 3985.055441 5846.870178 8437.585681
2025-02-23 481.681116 923.166361 1588.608168 2607.839560 4067.401002 6017.548588 8747.373693
2025-03-02 455.935615 894.746845 1566.265582 2606.876726 4111.112346 6136.115484 8988.626186
2025-03-09 444.659438 889.519339 1578.671280 2656.632438 4226.551407 6352.607161 9362.392016
2025-03-16 417.277017 855.717069 1545.695159 2637.906751 4243.755120 6434.911880 9556.346495